The Davis Rankings

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#21 Toledo

Mid-AmericanFollow Toledo@ToledoFB@toledofootballFollow the Mid-American@MACSports

3-1 in Mid-American play, T-2nd in the Mid-American

Up 15 spots (#36 to #21) after a home win over #28 Western Michigan (45-38) in a one-score game. A coin flip: Toledo entered with 69.7 TDR points to Western Michigan's 70.6. Now 6-2. TDR score +2.8: win/loss record +2.0.

No awards yet this season. A sticker lands on the helmet each time this team earns one.

2026 season recap (through week 8)

Toledo (Mid-American) is ranked 21st in The Davis Rankings after week 8 of 2026, with a record of 6-2 and a score of 72.5 out of 100. That is up 15 from week 7. That puts it in the Winning tier (ranks 1-25). Its strongest factor is recent results (100.0 out of 100). Its weakest is opponent record at game time (57.0 out of 100).

The highest-ranked opponent beaten so far came in week 8, 45-38 over T-77 Western Michigan at home. The defeat that hurts the score most is the week 1 loss, 30-20 to #117 Michigan State on the road.

Toledo has won its last 2 games in a row. On the road it is 2-1. The average margin is +12.0 points per game, with a biggest win of 53 points. 2 of 8 games were decided by a touchdown or less.

Toledo is not ranked in the AP, Coaches, or CFP polls this week, while the Davis Rankings has it 21st.

Next up is #136 Sacramento State in week 10, on the road. The toughest game left on the schedule by current rank is week 13 against #19 Ohio. 1 of the 4 games left are against teams currently in the top 25.

Schedule

WeekOpponentResult
1Michigan State (away)L 20-30
2Central Connecticut (home)W 63-10
3Temple (home)W 49-48
4San Diego State (home)W 41-16
5Ball State (away, conference game)W 39-24
6Buffalo (home, conference game)L 8-23
7Eastern Michigan (away, conference game)W 34-14
8Western Michigan (home, conference game)W 45-38

Upcoming games

WeekOpponentDate
10Sacramento State (away, conference game) (CBSSN)
11Massachusetts (home, conference game)Wed Nov 11, time TBD
12Bowling Green (home, conference game) (ESPN2)
13Ohio (away, conference game)

Ranking history 2026

Now #21, Winning (week 8). Best #21 (week 8). Lowest #96 (week 1). Higher on the chart is a better rank. The shaded bands are rank tiers, with each tier's sticker at its left.

Week 8 TDR #21 (72.5, 6-2) Winning

Winning (ranks 1-25)Feeling Good (ranks 26-50)Character Building (ranks 51-75)Do We Need to Talk? (ranks 76-100)#25#50#75#10012345678WkWinning (ranks 1-25)#21
Week by week
WeekTDRScoreRecordTier
1#9611.00-1-
2#6950.51-1-
3#5764.92-1Character Building
4#4971.13-1Feeling Good
5#3775.54-1Feeling Good
6#7650.54-2Do We Need to Talk?
7#3669.75-2Feeling Good
8#2172.56-2Winning

Score breakdown

Each factor is scored 0–100, then weighted into the composite score. Full methodology & weights

FactorScore (0-100)
win/loss record75.0
recent results100.0
road-win bonus71.4
opponent record at game time57.0
opponent record today57.0

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